Oracle Rides Major Deals With OpenAI, Nvidia to Turn Around Cloud Business

(Muara Digital Team) — Oracle Corp.’s Larry Ellison used to scoff at the idea of cloud computing, saying in 2008 that it was “complete gibberish.”

Now, the success of Oracle’s cloud infrastructure unit is why the company’s stock price has soared and made Ellison, its chairman and co-founder, the second-richest person in the world.

The AI boom has dramatically increased demand for computing and storage over the internet. Oracle, a software company that had long struggled to find its niche in this market, gained a foothold through scoring major customers. Today, it’s helping power Elon Musk’s xAI from a data center in Utah, assembling a cluster of tens of thousands of AI chips for Nvidia Corp. near Singapore and recently inked what is likely the largest single cloud deal ever with OpenAI, the leading artificial intelligence company.

Oracle is on the hook for tens of billions of dollars to develop unprecedentedly large data centers amid energy and material shortages. That includes a plan to spend more than $1 billion a year just to power one new megasite in West Texas with gas generators rather than wait for utility connection, according to people familiar with the plans.

With all of this spending, Oracle recorded a negative annual cash flow for the first time since 1990. And questions remain about the longevity and margins of offering infrastructure to train AI models. 

Oracle, founded in the 1970s, had long faded from tech prominence. On the road to its return in the AI era were internal battles to convince Chief Executive Officer Safra Catz to invest in the cloud, recruitment of key customers like TikTok and the rise of a brash executive named Clay Magouyrk. Muara Digital Teamspoke with more than 30 current or former employees and customers to understand how Oracle can deliver on its towering promises. They detailed spiraling costs, accelerated timelines to satisfy OpenAI, regulatory roadblocks and the hiring of hundreds of former Amazon cloud staffers, speaking anonymously to discuss the inner workings of a famously private and litigious company. Oracle declined to comment.

Building a Cloud

As cloud computing picked up steam in the late 2000s, Ellison had little reason to be excited. Oracle’s namesake database, which is purchased outright and installed directly on customer servers, is one of the world’s great cash businesses. Adopting a cloud sales model, where users rent access to software, would almost certainly come with lower profits and a need to collaborate with rivals.

After years of writing off the cloud as marketing, Oracle’s tone changed as its business came under fire. Amazon.com Inc. pushed cheaper database options on its cloud customers. Application rivals like Salesforce Inc. promised easier installation and updates. Ellison saw the need to get Oracle’s Fusion apps — commonly used for finance and resource planning — on the cloud, according to people familiar with his thinking at the time.

There were competing efforts through the 2010s within Oracle to build a cloud for internal and customer use. An initial attempt, led by Thomas Kurian and launched in 2012, saw limited success.

A separate group, made up largely of Amazon alumni led by Don Johnson, pushed an approach called bare metal, in which clients wouldn’t have to share their servers with other renters,  allowing Oracle to target privacy-focused users. The group also focused on building smaller data centers, which let them expand in countries that weren’t yet viable for industry leaders.

The bare metal approach won the blessing of Ellison, who remains a key decisionmaker despite handing off the CEO title more than a decade ago. The new product came to be known as Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, or OCI. Kurian departed the company in 2018 after his approach was sidelined. He then joined Google to lead its competing cloud service and remains in that position.

When offering the new product, Oracle had to overcome a long-held reputation for aggressive sales strategies. Major pitches for OCI include cheaper pricing thanks to a simplified set of products and good integration with other clouds. Oracle salespeople often take jabs at Amazon Web Services’ sprawling set of tools, telling customers that paying for Amazon’s cloud means subsidizing expensive moonshots like its satellite project, Kuiper.

An Amazon spokesperson said that “more customers continue to choose AWS than any other cloud provider because we deliver unmatched choice, pace of innovation, security, and reliability.”

Breakthrough Customers

In the pandemic era, a handful of transformative customers joined Oracle’s platform. Zoom Communications Inc., struggling to handle a massive spike in demand during lockdowns, selected Oracle Cloud to help handle traffic from consumers. The company secured a nearly $2 billion commitment from Uber Technologies Inc. in 2023.

By far the biggest win in this period was TikTok. The ByteDance Ltd.-owned social media company needed to expand its US infrastructure while under scrutiny from lawmakers over its links to China. Oracle, a company versed in national security whose chairman and CEO were supporters of the Republicans then in power, seemed a natural choice.

“OCI is like before and after TikTok,” said Tony Grayson, a former Oracle executive who led the company’s data center build-out around the time. The new customer forced the company to think on a scale it never had before, Grayson said. In 2022, TikTok announced that all US user traffic would flow through Oracle servers.

Annual revenue from the new customer rapidly passed $1 billion and, for a period, TikTok’s business was larger than the entire rest of OCI combined, according to people familiar with the figures. Oracle also built experience in AI infrastructure, running thousands of Nvidia graphics processing units — chips used for AI work — for TikTok even before the ChatGPT craze.

Management by Ridicule

Within Oracle, there was long disagreement about the purpose of OCI. Some leaders saw it as a way to shield the database business and modernize applications. Others sought to compete with Amazon and Microsoft Corp. for general cloud work and grab a piece of a market worth hundreds of billions each year.

It wasn’t easy to convince CEO Catz of the expansive vision. She expressed skepticism due to high costs of operating data centers and lower margins of the business, people familiar with her thinking said. This cost consciousness fueled OCI’s initial focus on small data centers. But she and other traditional company leaders became convinced as massive deals such as TikTok, and later OpenAI, materialized.

Internal accolades have flowed to Magouyrk, the division’s leader. The 39-year-old has rapidly climbed company ranks and reports directly to Ellison. He was one of OCI’s first employees after a stint at Amazon and recently relocated to Nashville, where Oracle has pledged to move its headquarters. In June, he was promoted to president, and is seen by company leaders as a potential successor to his 81-year-old boss. 

“Sometimes you look back and say — I’m not sure that I was entirely qualified at each step of the way,” Magouyrk said on the Modern CTO podcast in July 2023. “But it seems to have worked out so far.”

Those who have worked with him describe Magouyrk as highly effective and conflict prone. He once told an executive that his actions were “f—king stupid,” in a room full of leadership, according to allegations in a 2021 lawsuit that claimed a toxic work culture at OCI. Blunt bosses are typical in a company run by Ellison, who once described his leadership style as  “management by ridicule.”

In the early days of OCI, the division was known as “Sparta.” It could pay its workers more than other parts of Oracle, was based out of Seattle rather than the Bay Area, and adopted the AWS practice of constantly shedding lower performers.

OCI’s importance has grown as the cloud has become a bigger part of the company’s business. Today, about 23,000 employees report up through Magouyrk. Over the last two years, more than 600 workers have joined from Amazon, according to an analysis by Workforce.ai. Amazon’s recent five-days-a-week return-to-office rule has made the poaching easier, as OCI remains largely a hybrid or remote workplace, people at the company say.

Unprecedented Scale 

Today, AI is the biggest driver of OCI’s growth. The majority of Oracle’s backlog, or booked deals, are tied to customers training or deploying AI models with GPU-based servers, according to a person familiar with the figures.

OpenAI is slated to become Oracle largest customer and has marketed the work as “Stargate,” an effort first announced in January at the White House alongside President Donald Trump. The companies have struck deals for more than 5 gigawatts of computing power, an unprecedented sum and enough energy for millions of American homes.

OpenAI’s projects are proceeding rapidly. Sources indicate that the data centers are scheduled to be finished by the beginning of 2027, and numerous servers could be operational as early as next summer. The facilities are being built to both train AI models and potentially run the applications powered by those models, a process known as inference.

Providing infrastructure for AI training is generally thought to be a lower margin business than inference because it requires more advanced semiconductors and cooling. Exact timing and design details for the OpenAI work could still change, the people said.

Finding data center developers and power providers to support this project at palatable prices has been a challenge, people involved with the development said. Costs for many goods and services have gone up over the last year owing to tariffs and vendors capitalizing on intense demand. Plus, it can take years to get approval and infrastructure to draw the scale of electricity needed from local grids.

The site Oracle plans to power entirely with gas generation is located in Shackleford County, Texas, near another Oracle server farm in Abilene. It is being developed by Vantage Data Centers, partly owned by DigitalBridge Group Inc. and Silver Lake, and will have a compute capacity of 1.4 gigawatts, making it among the largest known sites.

Part of OCI’s popularity with AI firms is its long-standing focus on bare metal servers. This has become the standard arrangement for AI work, and Oracle was first among major vendors to offer it. Users and employees also point to Oracle’s networking quality and willingness to do high levels of customized work. 

Semianalysis, a popular industry analyst, listed Oracle Cloud near the top of its rankings for AI infrastructure vendors in March, citing its cost-effectiveness, networking quality and strong customer service. 

“Their competitive pricing is a significant advantage,” noted David Talby, the head of John Snow Labs, a firm specializing in the training and implementation of AI models for the healthcare industry. He added that his company chose OCI partly because of its superior performance and excellent optimization for Nvidia AI chips.

Nvidia, one of Oracle’s biggest AI clients, relies on OCI for its internal development processes and to support its own cloud services.infrastructure serviceThe semiconductor manufacturer, known internally as “pathfinder,” leases processing power from an Oracle group of H100 chips located in Japan, as well as from a data center under construction on Batam Island in Indonesia. According to a source familiar with the arrangements, Oracle is also discussing potential further capacity agreements with Meta Platforms Inc. and Elon Musk’s xAI.

Oracle’s cloud division remains significantly smaller than those of Amazon, Microsoft, and Google (Alphabet Inc.), the third-largest provider. However, substantial growth potential remains. Recent figures from Synergy Research Group indicate the market produced nearly $100 billion in revenue in the last quarter and is growing at roughly 25% annually.

Mark Moerdler, an analyst at Bernstein, raised the key issue of how Oracle plans to finance this expansion and its potential impact on the company’s earnings. He noted, however, that Oracle hasn’t needed to take out loans to build its data centers, unlike smaller competitors such as CoreWeave Inc.

Moerdler expressed confidence that margins would recover and cash flow would be significant after the investment period concludes. He likened the situation to Microsoft’s shift to the cloud under Satya Nadella’s leadership. “Oracle’s business model is undergoing a transformation that is both faster and more profound.”

(Adds more information about who owns Vantage Data Centers in the 30th paragraph.)

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